Yugoslav Dissolution
Settlement and return · SETTLED
Participants: Yugoslavia, United States, Russia, Austria, Italy, Greece, United Kingdom, Germany, France, Turkey
Ceasefires, territorial arrangements, refugee return, and political legitimacy remain contested.
Local parties: Slovenian authorities, Croatian authorities, Bosnian authorities, Serbian authorities, Montenegrin authorities, Macedonian authorities
- ConstitutionalCohesion
- 100
- Displacement
- 0
- InfrastructureDamage
- 0
- Intervention
- 0
- Legitimacy
- 38
- NationalistMobilization
- 0
- Reconstruction
- 0
- SettlementMomentum
- 100
- Violence
- 0
Possible next phases: Reconstruction, Armed conflict
The Troubles and Northern Ireland Peace Process
Backchannels · NEGOTIATING
Participants: United Kingdom, Ireland
Governments and intermediaries test principles, sequencing, and participation.
Background pressure: political exhaustion, spoiler pressure
- Decommissioning
- 5
- DomesticConsent
- 0
- InstitutionalStability
- 10
- Legitimacy
- 100
- NationalistConsent
- 28
- RatificationAuthorization
- 0
- RatificationFailureCount
- 0
- ReferendumRatification
- 0
- SettlementMomentum
- 100
- UnionistConsent
- 28
- Violence
- 100
Possible next phases: Ceasefire